Here’s Ontario’s updated COVID-19 modelling (June 10)

Here’s Ontario’s updated COVID-19 modelling (June 10)

As of June 14, residents in Toronto, Peel Region, Porcupine, Halton Region, Waterloo, Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph and York Region will be eligible to book their second doses if they received their first dose before May 9.

The new modelling shows if virus spread is low and we are vaccinating people at the rate of 142,000 per day, we will see under 500 cases a day until mid-August, with cases continuing to drop.

The province says it will further expand eligibility for accelerated second doses across Ontario as additional vaccine allocations and shipment timelines are confirmed by the federal government, including the recently announced Moderna vaccines. "We can look forward to a much better summer".

Muhajarine is also urging people to continue being cautious even after they get their second dose and as the province continues to loosen restrictions.

The Delta variant is about 50 per cent more transmissible than the Alpha variant, and is expected to be dominant strain in Ontario.

"We're not out of the woods just yet", Dr. He says he thinks a fourth wave is avoidable, especially with a focus on vaccinating hot spots.

On Friday, Ontario was to enter the first of its three-stage reopening plan.

World Health Organization warns of 'failure' unless rich countries speed up vaccine sharing
The growing US stockpile of COVID-19 vaccines is seen not only as a testament to American ingenuity, but also its privilege. Overall, the White House aims to share 80 million doses globally by the end of this month, mostly through Covax.

Minister of Health, Christine Elliot, reported that 10,627,469 doses of the COVID-19 vaccines have been administered, including 182,350 doses administered yesterday.

Latest data also show Ontario has now surpassed both the U.S. and U.K.in relative terms when it comes to the percentage of the population who have received one dose of a COVID vaccine.

If the spread of infections does keep slowing, Ontario could fall below 200 COVID-19 patients in ICUs by mid-July, allowing normal hospital operations to resume, modelling data indicate.

There are now 516 people in hospital with COVID-19, and 450 of them are in the ICU. Once complete, these individuals will be able to book their second dose appointment through the provincial booking system, public health units that use their own booking system or participating pharmacies and primary care settings at an interval that aligns with Ontario's vaccine strategy.

Workplace mobile clinics, as well as employer-led clinics in Toronto, Peel and York regions, will also begin second doses the week of June 20.

Those who received vaccines out of province were also being encouraged to contact local health units to ensure a proper record in Ontario's COVAX database.

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